Posts Tagged ‘football odds’

Squads That Are Overrated in NFL Betting

Tuesday, August 31st, 2010

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Football wagering history shows us that at least 5 of the squads that made the playoffs a year ago won’t make it in 2010. Which squads will probably fall this year? When making an Football bet, which ones should you avoid?



Practically all the playoff squads from a year ago are going to be preferred by Football betting online. A lot of of them are likely to fall short. It happens each and every year. The Indianapolis Colts and New Orleans Saints are expected to be pretty good again in 2010 but history has shown that repeating success after a Super Bowl year is quite tough to do. May one of these squads fail to get to the playoffs in betting football in 2010? It’s definitely feasible, though it does not seem likely.

The San Diego Chargers concluded 13-3 last year, yet there are warning symptoms that this team is ready to slip. The team will be without their best offensive tackle and best wide receiver to start the year. The AFC West is getting better and San Diego might be the team that surprises everyone with a serious fall.

Those making an Football bet are giving a lot of hype this year to 3 NFC squads. They are the Dallas Cowboys, Vikings and Green Bay Packers. The lines are that at least one of those squads turns into a letdown. Based on their hard schedule and with the uncertainty regarding quarterback Brett Favre, it might be the Minnesota Vikings.

The Philadelphia Eagles, Arizona Cardinals, Cincinnati Bengals, New England Patriots, Baltimore Ravens and New York Jets were the other squads that had winning records last year. Due to the loss of quarterback Kurt Warner the Cardinals are already being downgraded, so if they don’t make the playoffs it would not be a surprise. The New York Jets are everybody’s “hot” team proceeding into 2010 but they’ve got a major worry with cornerback Darrelle Revis holding out. The Ravens have defensive secondary concerns of their own with players out due to injury, though they’re another popular pick for 2010. The Philadelphia Eagles have new starting quarterback in Kevin Kolb while the Bengals received Terrell Owens and if he implodes the Cincinnati Bengals may fall. The Patriots still have Tom Brady so it’s tough to see them missing the playoffs.


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Bills Might be the NFL’s Worst Team in Football Gambling Online

Monday, August 30th, 2010

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Hurry, name the worst squad in the NFL going into the Football wagering online year.

You automatically thought of either the St Louis Rams or Detroit Lions, didn’t you? Well, the squad that might outdo them both in terms of Football wagering failure is the Buffalo Bills.



NFL wagering online lines list the Bills with a victory total of 5 for 2010. That means you can bet over or below that number at the online sports books. The Rams are listed with a victory total of 4.5 while the Lions have win total of 5, just to give you some comparison. The distinction is that gamblers are choosing the over with both of those 2 teams. They are not taking the over on the Bills.

Buffalo Offense: What’s there to love about the Bills offense? The Bills have a weak quarterback in Trent Edwards and 2 running backs in Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson that many individuals have never even heard of. Lee Evans is a good receiver but who genuinely cares? The sole hopeful possibility for the Bills is rookie running back C.J. Spiller. Maybe he can secure a few matches for Buffalo in 2010.

Buffalo Defense: If you haven’t heard of many competitors on the Bills offense then you likely don’t know any person on the defense. It genuinely does not matter how excellent they are when the offense is so negative, the defense is always on the field. If the offense always went three and out, even a defense like Baltimore’s would get tired.

Future: Is there a possibility the Bills can win a minimum of 6 matches this year and go over the online sports wagering total? Of course, but do you want to bet on it happening? Let us see if we can even find 5 wins. The 1st four matches against Miami, Green Bay, New England and Jets are likely losses. Perhaps they can beat Jacksonville at home in Week 5 but that is no guarantee. They’ll lose at Baltimore following their bye and likely at Kansas City the subsequent week. They host the Bears and Lions the next 2 weeks and maybe they can get a split in those 2 matches. They then will lose against the Cincinnati Bengals, Steelers and Vikings before hosting Cleveland. Possibly they can win that game. They finish off with Miami, New England and the Jets. Do you see 5 wins with that schedule?


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Planning to Bet on Totals in 2010 Football Wagering

Monday, August 30th, 2010

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Totals in football wagering can be just as rewarding as sides, despite the fact that they do not get as much attention. It is crucial to take a look at the over/under records of squads from last season in NFL football wagering as you prepare to bet totals in 2010.



Football sports betting totals definitely had a number of trends last season. As they went over the total 11 times in their 16 regular season games, the New York Giants were the top over squad in the league. Not far behind the Giants were the Philadelphia Eagles and San Diego Chargers who went over in 10 of their 16 games. There were a handful of other squads that were somewhat more likely to go over the total than under. The Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, Kansas City Chiefs, Washington Redskins and Pittsburgh Steelers each went over in 9 of their games last season.

Some squads were right at 8-8 with regards to over/unders. They were the Green Bay Packers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions. The New York Jets were just around .500 in sport betting too at 7-8-1. Just barely going under the total a year ago in 9 of their games were the Atlanta Falcons, Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, New Orleans Saints, Baltimore Ravens, Oakland Raiders, Cincinnati Bengals, St Louis Rams and Seattle Seahawks. It is interesting to note among that group that the Saints went under the total more often than they went over despite the fact that they had a great offense. The Dallas Cowboys had a great offense too nevertheless they went under in 10 of their 16 regular season games. Carolina, Chicago, Tampa Bay and Buffalo likewise went under in 10 of their 16 games.

The San Francisco 49ers, Arizona Cardinals, Houston Texans and New England Patriots, who went under in 11 of their 16 games, were the top under squads a year ago.

As high scoring squads like New Orleans, Houston, Dallas and New England all went under the total more than they went over in NFL football wagering, when you look at last season’s results you find lots of surprises. Remember that the odds makers do a excellent job of making NFL totals and perception is everything. In terms of going over the total, high scoring teams quite often don’t offer much value.


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Prospective Surprise Teams in 2010 Football Gambling

Monday, August 30th, 2010

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What teams that struggled in 2009 might surprise vs the Football wagering odds in 2010? The odds are pretty good that at least a few of the teams that ended with below .500 records last year, of which there are 12, will make the playoffs this year. Which teams that struggled last year do you want to place an Football wager on this year?



NFL online sport betting lines are not likely to favor the losing teams from a year ago which is why they can be valuable this year. The twelve losing teams from a year ago were the St. Louis Rams, Detroit Lions, Washington Redskins, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Cleveland Browns, Oakland Raiders, Seattle Seahawks, Buffalo Bills, Chicago Bears, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins. Which of those teams will likely be better this year?

The Detroit Lions won just 2 games last year nevertheless they ought to be greatly better in 2010. They almost certainly will not make the playoffs but they’re not going to be a horrible squad anymore. The Rams and Tampa Bay Bucs might present some improvement but neither squad seems to be that much greater than they were a year ago. The Washington Redskins have a new head coach in Mike Shanahan and a new quarterback in Donovan McNabb. They’re going to be a lot better in 2010, and that’s practically a given. The Cleveland Browns have a new quarterback in Jake Delhomme and they’re now run by Mike Holmgren. The Browns ought to furthermore be better this year. The Oakland Raiders have a new quarterback in Jason Campbell but with Al Davis as the owner it’s hard to have lots of confidence in the Raiders. The Seattle Seahawks have a new head coach in Pete Carroll and they play in the weakest division in football so they could possibly be better. The Buffalo Bills have a new head coach in Chan Gailey nevertheless they seem to be just as bad as last year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars might also see improvement this year and the Chicago Bears are relying upon new offensive coordinator Mike Martz to get things going, despite the fact that it’s challenging to ever know what that squad is going to do when making an Football bet.

The 2 teams that genuinely seem to be the most improved in the online sports wagering are the Kansas City Chiefs and Miami Dolphins. The Chiefs possess a new offensive coordinator in Charlie Weis as well as new defensive coordinator in Romeo Crennel. The Chiefs are a squad to keep an eye on in 2010. The Dolphins now have Brandon Marshall and they ought to bounce back from their losing year of a year ago.


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Martz & Cutler Make the Bears Worth Considering in Football Gambling Online

Monday, August 30th, 2010

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As they get ready to wager on NFL betting online gambling odds, bettors are taking a hard look at the win total of the Bears.



The Bears still include Jay Cutler and whenever he throws the ball he is an interception in the making. Oddsmakers aren’t actually sure what to expect from Chicago and the NFL betting win total on the Bears is 8 at the online sportsbook.

Since they have a new offensive coordinator in Mike Martz, NFL betting online statistics are going to be interesting on Chicago. You recall Martz, don’t you? He was the wizard who directed the Rams’ offense to a Super Bowl. You may not recall that he failed miserably at San Francisco as offensive coordinator but then again, he received Alex Smith at quarterback. He has Cutler now and whether Cutler is worth it is the question for bettors to answer.

NFC North: The Bears play in a challenging division with Minnesota, Green Bay and an improved Detroit squad so getting to 8 wins isn’t a given. What they have going for them this year is desperation. For head coach Lovie Smith, it’s now or never. If the Bears do not make the playoffs he is gone. Martz might additionally be on his last legs. He needs to demonstrate that he yet is the offensive genius that he was once. And then there’s Cutler. The Bears aren’t gaining much in return for the ton of money that they’re paying him.

Chicago’s Schedule: Whether the Bears can win 8 competitions is the question for you to answer in online sports wagering. Their schedule does not do them plenty of favors. Sure, they get the Lions 2 times but Detroit is improved. The NFC East is the strongest division in the NFL, and the Bears have to play teams from this division. They do get games versus Seattle, Buffalo and Carolina that they ought to win but games versus the Jets, Miami and New England definitely compensate for those. To get to 8 wins the Bears will have to win at home, something they didn’t do enough of last season. It is a make or break season for Chicago but other than gaining a new offensive coordinator they didn’t do much to progress offensively and that may be their downfall in 2010.


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Vikings Make a Trade with Miami Dolphins in NFL Prospects

Monday, August 30th, 2010

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You don’t see a lot of trades made in the preseason and hardly ever do they mean much versus the NFL probabilities however the one that Minnesota made with Miami might have an effect.



The Vikings needed to do something since they will be lacking starting wide receiver Sidney Rice for about half the season as a result of injury. They traded some players on Wednesday that might help them have more results against the football gambling odds as they got wide receiver Greg Camarillo from the Dolphins for cornerback Benny Sapp.

The probabilities when betting on football favored the Vikings as they hosted Seattle on Saturday in preseason competition. Camarillo worked with quarterback Brett Favre and got right into the starting lineup. The Vikings won that game with a final score of 24-13. Camarillo might maybe be a genuinely great addition for the Vikings.

Good Move for Minnesota: Getting Camarillo was a genuinely good move made by the Vikings. With Rice being out and the migraine problems of Percy Harvin, the Vikings needed a solid receiving option. And no, Javon Walker, who they not too long ago signed, was not the solution.

Camarillo has caught 105 passes over the last 2 seasons for Miami. A couple of years ago he was the favorite receiver of Chad Pennington. He was hurt last season but nonetheless got 55 catches for 613 yards in the 1st twelve games prior to being wounded.

Dolphins obtain Sapp: The Dolphins get an average defensive back but give up a good wide receiver. Sapp started 7 regular-season games and both playoff games for the Vikings last season but he was not a good enough replacement for the wounded Antoine Winfield.

Sapp would have been a nickel back in the Minnesota secondary now that Winfield is back and healthy. He made 55 tackles and 7 passes defended last season with the Vikings and pushed 2 fumbles. He did not have any interceptions.

Effect: Trades in the preseason are not typically important when it comes to online sport betting odds at the online sportsbook, but this one genuinely is. The Vikings required someone to replace Rice at receiver.

While Camarillo will not be as explosive as Rice he’ll give Favre an excellent and reliable target to throw to which is exactly what he needs. Look for Camarillo to have a big effect for the Vikings this season.


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Houston Going for Balance in NFL Wagering

Saturday, August 28th, 2010

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NFL wagering expectations have never been higher for the Houston Texans as they enter the 2010 year as a Football betting favorite to make the playoffs. As the Houston Texans are coming off their 1st ever winning year and had the leading passing attack in Football betting, Football wagering oddsmakers have watched encouraging signs from Houston.



If Houston is to take the next step, nevertheless, an greater running game is absolutely essential when betting football. While the passing attack is among the NFL’s elite, it wasn’t enough to get the Houston Texans into the post season last year and too much dependence has been set on quarterback Matt Schaub.

Schaub’s confidence proceeds to grow even with the lofty expectations and his teammates say that he is far looser than in past times. Schaub passed for 4770 yards last year and 29 touchdown passes with a completion proportion of 68 together with a quarterback rating of 98.6.

Houston’s inability to put away competitors by milking the clock with a strong rushing attack was a weakness with the Football wagering probabilities, and their rushing attack ranked 30th last year at the sportsbook.

“We want to be more of a balanced team,” claimed Schaub. “We are a passing team, but we don’t ever want it to be where we throw 80 percent of the time. If it means more in terms of wins to run the ball, then that’s what we’ll need to do.”

“For our team to get better, we have to be balanced,” Gary Kubiak, Houston’s head coach, claimed. “We couldn’t close games late in the fourth quarter because we couldn’t run the ball. When you throw it to close games, it makes it more difficult.”

Houston’s inability to close was a point of frustration with burned oddsmakers that backed them with the Football wagering lines.

Steve Slaton and Arian Foster are fighting for the leading position. Slaton endured a sophomore jinx though he had a fine rookie year in 2008. Slaton is challenging with an greater attitude and reduced waist line, though Foster has been the starter in preseason.

As they averaged only 3.4 yards per carry in a 20-38 blowout loss, the Houston Texans continued to struggle with the ground game in their Football wagering loss last week at New Orleans. Against Arizona in the preseason starter they averaged only 3.6 yards per carry.

Houston hosts Dallas in preseason action Saturday evening.


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Rebels Look for Success versus College Football Betting Probabilities

Thursday, August 19th, 2010

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The Rebels will try to add to their results vs the college football wagering odds in 2010.

The squad is even considering bringing in former Oregon quarterback Jeremiah Masoli. The Rebels could use Masoli considering they’ve got no one to backup starter Nathan Stanley. Mississippi went 9-4 last year and 7-6 vs the college football lines.



Head coach Houston Nutt did a good job a year ago with the Mississippi Rebels and he’s looking for more in 2010. Taking a flyer on Masoli may be a quality move or it could upset the other participants. The Rebels were not considering adding Masoli but backup quarterback Raymond Cotton left the squad. Mississippi would in fact want to have an seasoned quarterback to back up Stanley. The Mississippi Rebels would be gambling that Masoli could keep out of trouble. Individuals wonder whether he can do the right things at Mississippi, though he couldn’t do so at Oregon. The Rebels took an opportunity last year on Jamar Hornsby and they regretted that decision as they had to dismiss him from the squad after he got into trouble again. As they look willing to take an opportunity on Masoli, they might not have discovered anything from that situation though.

Mississippi must do something considering their current backup quarterback is junior college transfer Randall Mackey who was not even at spring practice.

The Mississippi Rebels do have some winnable games at the sports betting source, despite the fact that Mississippi plays in the SEC which is never easy. Losing Dexter McCluster and Jevan Snead probably will keep Ole Miss from improving to a ten win year nevertheless they should still make a bowl game. Redshirt freshman wide receiver Ja-Mes Logan is truly liked by the Mississippi Rebels. The defense for Mississippi looks good as they return most of their starters from last year including Jerrell Powe and Kentrell Lockett.

Someone at Mississippi knew what they were doing while they produced this year’s schedule. As they host Jacksonville State, go to Tulane and then play 3 straight at home against Vanderbilt, Fresno State and Kentucky, the Mississippi Rebels have very winnable games to break in their new offensive participants. The Rebels could start the year 5-0 before likely losses at Alabama and Arkansas. They host Auburn and then get a gimme game at home vs UL Lafayette. That could get them to 6 victories and they could win at Tennessee the subsequent week. They could win at Mississippi State to end the year despite the fact that they will likely lose at LSU. With an upset along the way the Rebels could find a way to 8 victories this year.


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Boise Liked in Sports Books Website Odds in their Final Season in the WAC

Monday, August 16th, 2010

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The 2010 college football year will be the last one for Boise State in the WAC plus they are heavily favored at the sports books website to win the conference title again.



As they’ve got NCAAf college football betting sports books probabilities of 8-1 to win it all, the Boise State Broncos are also national title contenders.

Sports Books website probabilities show Boise State as a 2.5 point fave in their year starter vs Virginia Tech. That competition appears to be the toughest one this year for the Boise State Broncos and it will decide if they’ve got a chance to compete in a BCS bowl competition this year.

Since they move into the Mountain West Conference next year, this will be the last year for Boise State in the WAC. Boise has not obtained a lot of opposition in the WAC. The Broncos have won the conference title seven times since 2001 plus they are heavily favored at the sports books to win it again. Nearly everyone from last year’s squad that went unbeaten will be heading back to Boise.

Boise State have never lost a conference match at home and the squad has gone unbeaten in the WAC the last two seasons. The Boise State Broncos shouldn’t lose a conference match this year either with 20 starters heading back. Their sole two difficult matches on the schedule seem to be the starter vs Virginia Tech and a home competition vs Oregon State. Boise State is headed by quarterback Kellen Moore who has by now tossed for 64 touchdowns and also more than 7,000 yards in his college career.

Nevada is the most probably squad, if any squad is going to upset Boise State this year. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick and 14 other starters will be coming back. Their one conference loss last year was to Boise. They get the Boise State Broncos at home on November 26th. The other squad who may give Boise a match is Fresno State as they return 16 starters. Idaho is also a squad who may have the ability to score with Boise as they bring back 18 starters from last year’s team. The Boise State Broncos do get to go to Idaho this year but that may not be a very good road competition given that it’s in the same state. Boise was a quite profitable 9-5 vs the spread last season, even though the team has a high profile.


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NFL Preseason Quarterback Depth in 2010 Gambling

Saturday, August 14th, 2010

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NFL preseason wagering success is quite often all about locating the squads with the top quarterback depth. This is not the normal season where the starting quarterback competes the complete match. Sometimes the result of NFL preseason odds is determined by the third or fourth string quarterbacks.



Typically NFL preseason wagering odds have minor point spreads. The difference between a victory and a loss in the preseason can come down to how well a third string quarterback plays. Which squads have the top quarterback depth for 2010? What squads have the most detrimental? Why don’t we have a look.

The Dolphins have a pretty good quartet of quarterbacks. Chad Henne is the starter whereas Chad Pennington is the backup. In the NFL, there are not several backup quarterbacks much better than Pennington. With 66.1%, he’s presently the NFL’s all-time leader in career completion proportion, in reality. Tyler Thigpen is the third stringer, and he was starting in Kansas City. Even the fourth string quarterback Pat White has seen playing time.

The New York Jets have a lot of depth despite the fact that they might not have any excellent quarterbacks. The squad a short while ago signed Mark Brunell to be the backup and Mark Sanchez is the starter. They also have Kellen Clemens who has started in the NFL along with Erik Ainge.

A squad to follow vs the NFL preseason odds might genuinely be the Oakland Raiders. At quarterback they’ve got a pretty strong four man rotation. Jason Campbell will be the starter whereas the 3 other quarterbacks all have started in the NFL. Some good backups who can make plays are Kyle Boller, Charlie Frye and Bruce Gradkowski.

What about the squads you don’t want to be tracking in the preseason? Jay Cutler of the Chicago Bears is a strong starter, but there’s not a lot behind him. Do you genuinely want Brett Basanez, Caleb Hanie, Mike Teel or Dan LeFevour to determine the result of your wager? Jay Cutler is not the most outstanding quarterback out there at this time as it is, and to be backed up by even less outstanding participants makes you think two times about wagering on this squad during the preseason.

The Colts have a similar issue. Peyton Manning will not get a great deal of playing time, and he’s their starting quarterback. The backups are Curtis Painter, Tom Brandstater, Tim Hiller and Drew Willy. The Colts are going to want to keep Manning, who may be 1 of the top quarterbacks of all time, in good condition for the games that in fact count, not waste his skill on the preseason.

The Eagles have Michael Vick, who has demonstrated nothing as the backup, Kevin Kolb as the starter and the other 2 quarterbacks are Mike Kafka and Joey Elliot. Even Kevin Kolb is brand new to the starting quarterback placement, having earned it after Donovan McNabb was exchanged to the Redskins. He’s not a poor quarterback, but he’s also not 1 that has earned a lot of faith yet from his squad and Eagles fanatics.

Remember to pay close attention to the quarterback depth as you make NFL preseason wagers this season.


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